BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Fresno St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 169 Overall: (15-18) Overall Strength =   34.36
Conference: Mountain West Record: (9-11) | District: 1-02 Record: (14-16)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Home    W      34.68  87  38   ZZ 153 ( 0- 1) Fresno Pacific         -0.00 *   49.00                      
 2 11-07-2025 Away    W   *  47.10  74  51    1 299 ( 7-23) CS Bakersfield         12.42     10.58                      
 3 11-11-2025 Home    W   *  36.69  78  53    1 333 ( 5-25) Seattle                 2.01     22.99                      
 4 11-15-2025 Away    L      33.14  43  63    1  53 (26-12) BYU                    -1.54    -18.46                      
 5 11-19-2025 Away    L      44.59  43  61    1  22 (22-11) Washington              9.91 *  -27.91                      
 6 11-23-2025 Away    L   *  28.99  63  81    1  77 (24-10) Santa Clara            -5.69    -12.31                      
 7 11-28-2025 Neutral W   *  36.75  64  49    1 298 ( 9-21) New Mexico St           2.07     12.93                      
 8 11-29-2025 Neutral W   *  31.23  61  48    1 314 ( 5-26) Louisiana              -3.45     16.45                      
 9 12-06-2025 Home    L   *  14.52  45  65    1 133 (21-13) Pepperdine            -20.16      0.16                      
10 12-10-2025 Away    L   *  33.60  57  60    1 166 (15-17) St Mary's CA           -1.08     -1.92                      
11 12-13-2025 Home    W   *  28.65  81  62    1 348 ( 9-23) Chicago St             -6.03     25.03                      
12 12-17-2025 Home    L * *  32.53  53  63    1  79 (27- 6) San Diego St           -2.15     -7.85                      
13 12-20-2025 Home    W * *  42.73  53  36    1 233 (10-20) Wyoming                 8.05      8.95                      
14 12-31-2025 Away    L * *  19.87  59  85    1  88 (21-11) UNLV                  -14.81    -11.19                      
15 01-03-2026 Away    L * *  45.05  83  86    1  70 (27- 8) Colorado St            10.37    -13.37                      
16 01-07-2026 Home    W * *  31.94  67  52    1 318 ( 4-28) San Jose St            -2.74     17.74                      
17 01-10-2026 Away    L   *  34.22  64  71    1 120 (13-19) Grand Canyon           -0.46     -6.54                      
18 01-14-2026 Home    W * *  51.46  86  56    1 278 ( 6-24) Utah St                16.77     13.23                      
19 01-17-2026 Away    W * *  41.97  54  44    1 218 (10-21) Nevada                  7.29      2.71                      
20 01-21-2026 Away    L * *  33.21  52  60    1 117 (25- 9) Boise St               -1.47     -6.53                      
21 01-24-2026 Home    L * *  29.68  55  68    1  70 (27- 8) Colorado St            -5.00     -8.00                      
22 01-28-2026 Away    L * *  26.11  42  47    1 233 (10-20) Wyoming                -8.57      3.57                      
23 01-31-2026 Home    L * *  23.10  56  61    1 208 (16-19) Air Force             -11.58      6.58                      
24 02-04-2026 Away    W * *  51.31  79  50    1 318 ( 4-28) San Jose St            16.63     12.37                      
25 02-07-2026 Home    W * *  46.60  71  51    1 218 (10-21) Nevada                 11.92      8.08                      
26 02-11-2026 Home    W * *  41.84  75  69    1 117 (25- 9) Boise St                7.16     -1.16                      
27 02-15-2026 Away    W * *  40.83  73  59    1 278 ( 6-24) Utah St                 6.15      7.85                      
28 02-21-2026 Away    L * *  38.90  59  68    1  79 (27- 6) San Diego St            4.22    -13.22                      
29 02-25-2026 Home    L   *  20.84  42  57    1 120 (13-19) Grand Canyon          -13.84     -1.16                      
30 02-28-2026 Home    L * *  26.50  54  68    1  88 (21-11) UNLV                   -8.18     -5.82                      
31 03-03-2026 Away    L * *  20.35  64  86    1 109 (22-10) New Mexico            -14.33     -7.67                      
32 03-07-2026 Neutral W * *  46.29  74  57    1 218 (10-21) Nevada                 11.61      5.39                      
33 03-08-2026 Neutral L * *  29.18  65  79    1  88 (21-11) UNLV                   -5.50     -8.50                      
      Averages              34.68  62.9 60.7

Best game:   51.46 = 30 point win over Utah St
Worst game:  14.52 = 20 point loss to Pepperdine
Team stdev:   9.49